Last minute thoughts: *Perhaps the biggest problem is
the United States is no longer
respected in the world: a friend who just returned from 3 weeks
overseas said
they came to hide their American passports until the last minute when
going
through customs, and that they had been accosted on streets and taxis
for being
an American.
*This president Bush may believe the
United States has all
the answers, unlimited resources, and can win the war on terror by
ourselves,
but few thinking others do. Indeed what
happened in Afghanistan and Kosovo and Bosnia shows what does work,
i.e. the
value of having a broad coalition (French troops are still helping in
Afghanistan) and that a large number of troops on the ground not
only protect
the citizens but the troops as well. And
the bottom line is Bush didn’t follow these successes because he simply
couldn't convince the world that invading Iraq
on his time frame and with his plans was the right thing to do -- and he not
only believed Rumsfeld's war-on-the-cheap scenario, he fired Generals for
saying otherwise.
The ultimate bottom line is there are always more
right things to do than are smart to do, and thus a president must
chose
the smartest things to do with our limited resources.
*The NRA boasted that if
this Bush was elected they
would "work out
of the White House," and
unfortunately that boast has proved to be true.
Not only has this administration allowed the assault weapon ban to
expire, but it overturned the "collective"
interpretation of
the Second Amendment
held by every other administration for at least the last 50 years, to
adopt an "individual"
interpretation that holds
each individual has the right to bears arms, and the KEY POINT is by ignoring the militia clause -- to individually use those arms
against our
own government when they alone determine that it has turned tyrannical. In short
this is the "Timothy McVeigh interpretation"
of the Second
Amendment.
*And four points for the many who dislike this Bush
but have serious doubts about Kerry:
First, Karl Rove=s
smear machine has been as effective against Kerry as it was against
John
McCain, Max Cleland, and others. As one exasperated commentator
noted, if
Kerry had suffered a hangnail in Vietnam it would be more than this
Bush
suffered while serving in the Texas National Guard, at least until he
refused
to take a medical exam that included a drug test and thus was grounded.
The Purple Heart
Band-Aids worn by so many at the Republican Convention were also
misleading
because Kerry=s medical
records show he still has bullet and flack fragments close to his femur
bone.
And speaking out
against the Vietnam war when many others including Walter Cronkite were
doing so, and when it was clear
the war was both wrong and un-winnable, was an act of courage most of us that lived through that time, to our
shame,
did not make.
But worse is the
premise that anyone with combat experience
won=t make a good a
president because they
won=t be as willing to commit our troops to
war -- like Eisenhower and Kennedy -- and thus people without such
experience
like Cheney, Rumsfeld, and this Bush are better able to make these
decisions. Give me a break!
Third, anyone who
has cast over 6,000 votes in the Senate is
an easy target for mis-characterizations, and again making his
experience in
the Senate to be a detriment rather than an asset is also Orwellian,
especially
since for most of that same time Bush was going from one failed
business to
another, and indeed had but 6 years experience as governor of a state
where the
legislature only meets every other year, and then for only 140 days!
And
fourth, and most importantly, the
Republicans will retain control of
both the House and Senate and history clearly shows that record
spending and
record deficits result when one party controls both the presidency and
the
legislature, and no matter which party.
And finally,
many fellow
Republicans,
including some influential ones and those who have a
Bush-Cheney sign in their yard, say that in the privacy of the
voting booth they will either not vote for Bush, or will vote for
Kerry!
Indeed if this Bush president is re-elected,
and he makes any more mistakes like Iraq, the Republican Party as we
know it will cease to exist.
What we all do know is after the
election we will still all
be friends and neighbors and Americans. But we all should also
recognize that
our system of government needs some systemic changes including (1)
something
like a question hour that forces our officials to publicly defend their
decisions, (2) undo the gerrymandering that has allowed 98% of the
House seats
to be totally safe, and which forces Representatives to court the most
extreme
sides of their respective parties, and (3) force truth in political
advertising. Why do we have laws against
false advertising for toothpaste but not for political candidates?
Fooling the public to get their
vote goes
against the very foundations of our democracy, and indeed is nothing
but
political terrorism.
October 30, 2004
This is about it. Being at ground zero in Ohio, we have had 5-10 pieces of political mail and 3-10 political calls a day, and most from the Republicans -- and most attacking and distorting Kerry. It's suppose to rain Tuesday which traditionally would favor Republicans who are not as easily deterred by rain or long lines, but this year feels very, very different from the yard signs, to the number of people volunteering -- and as a long time Republican, I have been struck by the complete lack of enthusiasm for Son Bush by so many other Republicans, and that may well turn out to be the surprise of the election... and the foreshadowing of the demise of the Republican party as we have known it -- with the most interesting post-election question being where these disenchanted and disenfranchised Republican voters will land in the future.
October 29, 2004
Kerry
seems to be both jumping around with new issues each day and keeping
old campaign lines when instead he should attack Bush on Bush's supposed
strength: "keeping us safer" by noting that the biggest weapon in
the war on terrorism is intelligence, and we need allies because
that certainly isn't our strong suit -- and by noting the
enormous differences in the "coalition" in Iraq vs Afghanistan and the
first Gulf war -- and even Kosovo and Bosnia... especially since both Bush
and Cheney still maintain that their coalition is as big as the first
Gulf war (and note that this Bush's Iraq coalition is
shrinking!) A simple message that makes the point that this
Bush's Iraq war is out of step! Also Kerry isn't reaching out to
thinking Republicans as Bush is asking Democrats for their vote... and there are A LOT of disenchanted Republicans.. and besides reaching out to Republicans seems like a "uniter!" And finally
if anyone has a record to run from it is Bush not Kerry!!!
October 22, 2004
”One test of a leader is to convince your allies what’s right and what’s wrong. And that’s what a leader does. A leader builds up alliances.” GW Bush on ABC’s This Week, January 2000. So Son Bush has failed his own test of a leader!
October 21, 2004
Rush Limbaugh provides
one of the best measures of how Son Bush is doing, i.e. the
more he rants, the worse Bush is doing. For example, after Bush’s
stunning loss to McCain in New Hampshire, South Carolina became the
do-or-fold state for Bush and Rush rose (or more accurately, sunk) to
the challenge with some of the most amazing and vitriolic radio
programs ever in the days before the South Carolina primary; and on the
day of the 2000 election Rush became increasingly upset as the exit
polling showed Son Bush in a dead heat or even losing to Gore; and then
today Rush got so wound up in a tirade he called Kerry "a
gigolo," claimed Kerry wouldn’t commit troops "unless they were wearing
a blue U.N. helmet," and concluded no real American could ever
even consider voting for Kerry -- and then after the break, Rush, still
a bit out of breath, said he got "a standing O" from his staff.
Kerry must be ahead!
October
12, 2004
Bush keeps saying that "the world is
safer with Saddam in prison," and "it was the right thing to
do." The first statement is true enough, the second is right if
phrased "it was a
right thing to do." But both miss the real
question, which is whether it
was the best thing to do given our limited resources?
Indeed that should be the first question asked for every
decision.
October 11, 2004
Debate Two. Bush’s famed
charisma seems to work best with crowds of true believers and didn’t
seem to work on the debate audience, and Kerry again scored points by not
being the demon portrayed in the ads. But both candidates
seemed evasive by relying too much on sound bites rather than answering
the question posed. And when Bush says Kerry voted against the
$87 billion appropriation for political reasons and if he can’t stand
up to Howard Dean how can he stand up to terrorists, why not say this
administration has been the most political in memory -- painting anyone
who doesn’t agree unpatriotic – even Republicans, and Bush has changed
positions time and time again: first against a Department of
Homeland Security, then for it, against an investigation of 9-11, and
then for it, against federal airport inspectors, and then for them,
first against steel imports and then for them, first for expanding Americorp then not funding any expansion -- and today it was reported
that US military operations against insurgent strongholds in Iraq will
be put off until after the US elections because they could well involve
heavy US military casualties... and in truth the rush to war in Iraq
was
to accommodate the US political cycle, i.e. it had to start when it did
in order to have the “Mission Accomplished” before the US
election! And when Karl Rove brags that he sits between Bush’s
National Security Advisor and his Domestic Advisor at the daily White
House briefings, politics is definitely at the center of the table
every day!
What principles beyond getting re-elected are involved here? And when
he taunts Kerry saying "you can run, but you can’t hide" -- how about
his running from
one rationale for the war on Iraq to another... and then running from
the truth when the record is clear.
And when Bush asks "what other countries will help when you say it is
the wrong war in the wrong place" just say (1) it is in everyone’s
interests that Iraq be stabilized; (2) that while he really believes it
is possible and while there is no guarantee Kerry can bring more people
to the table, it is an absolute certainty that Bush hasn’t and can’t.
And for mistakes, why doesn’t Kerry distinguish himself from Bush who
said “history may show” that he’s made “some mistakes in tactics,” but
in the big decisions he’s always right, and say he (Kerry) won’t wait
for history’s judgment, but rather when a plan isn’t working he’ll
change it, and anyone who has made 2,000 votes has made mistakes,.
and a more than three.. and have a few examples where he made a
mistake, admitted it, and tried to make amends.
Oh, so much material to work with and so little time....
The
real scandal in the tax area is (1) that payroll taxes are not included
in tax burden data, and (2) rather than focusing on the top 10%
of taxpayers, or even the top 0.1% of taxpayers, focus on the top 0.01%
of taxpayers who have average
income of well over $100 million a year! Not only is this
type of wealth unprecedented, the ability to pay has a whole
different meaning as applied to these people, and lowering their rates
and eliminating the estate tax will only help create a plutocracy.
“Republicans
have conned the nation's heartland into trading its economic interests
for the hokum of the cultural wars. The result has been a kind of
mass insanity where working folk bash the government programs that help
them while demanding tax cuts for their bosses.” F. Harrop
Bush is protecting his daughters
future by increasing their trust funds and eliminating the estate
tax while most of the rest of us worried about our children being
able to find good jobs and not being saddled by an enormous national
debt.
October
5, 2004
Tuesday's VP Debate.
Consistency? Find something else to say than “we've always been
consistent.” Everyone changes their position including Bush
administration; the more important question is why Bush hasn't
changed his wrong positions sooner. El Salvador isn't Iraq in
many respects including time, location, history, area and
population! Freedom and democracy are important principles worth
fighting to save -- and to give -- but the
bottom line question should always be “is this the best use of our
limited resources as we face new and potentially catastrophic dangers.”
October Surprise?
Some claim we know where Osama bin Laden is within a zip code, and
although he presumably is in a cave, using sophisticated underground
oil exploration imaging technologies and sensitive infrared detection
devices that can spot living things from afar, we should know where he
is within a few thousand feet -- so the chance he will be captured or
killed before the election is real... and if we don’t get
him we should have months and months ago. However, of course, the
wisest thing would be to watch Osama for as long as possible after he
is found in order to trace his terrorists network rather than
maximize political gain.
But other October surprises could come from insiders, i.e. just as Paul
O’Neill, Richard Clarke, David Frum, and now even Paul Bremer
have come forward with revelations as acts of conscious, if Kerry
doesn’t pull ahead soon, so too others in the administration may feel
compelled to come forward. There’s a reason this president
Bush wants to know every person who attends a meeting with him, and why
they must be
there... think about it!
October 4, 2004
Debate One, again! Well, Kerry
“won” -- but then he should have won because Bush had the impossible job
of justifying the indefensible: his invasion of Iraq without an
imminent threat or adequate plan for the post-war nation building.
One observer said Bush seemed to go down hill after Kerry raised the
fact that his father’s book gave numerous reasons not to invade Iraq... and most of those reasons
have proved to be valid. Our recent web pages provide interesting and
significant information on the Bush Father-Son relationship, and indeed
foreshadow, if not predict, that the reference to his father might upset W since while to
some significant extent he invaded Iraq to correct his father’s “cut
and run” mistake in 1991, he instead once again proved that
"father knew best" and the son was wrong... and so Son Bush grimaced to
control his emotions and temper.
But there is another aspect few have mentioned: Bush has a very short
attention span: he doesn’t like, and therefore his schedule doesn’t
include, long presentations or long briefing papers... indeed it is
reported briefing papers are usually condensed to no more than 3 pages with key passages often highlighted, and that every effort
is made to limit “long” 60-90 minute policy briefings to no more than
twice a week -- and thus it isn’t surprising that he visibly tired
during the course of the 90 minute debate, especially when
faced with questions and facts even his advisors rarely raise. This
is not to denigrate Bush’s intelligence or intentions, but, simply
put, and as Iraq
proved, relying on “instinct” rather than a strong background in the
facts and/or a full airing of opposing views rarely results in the
“best”
decisions.
And finally the
debate also demonstrated Bush’s strength: staying on message no matter
what, so even though he seemed to robotically repeat key phrases over
and over,
everyone now knows that Iraq is “hard work.”
October 2, 2004
Debate
One! Kerry should avoid
personalizing the issues, i.e. while it feels good -- and is accurate
– to say this president has made grievous errors of judgment,
it sounds far better -- especially to uncommitted voters -- to
criticize the positions as wrong rather than to criticize the person as
wrong. Indeed one of the better parts of the debate was when
both candidates seemed somewhat surprised to say nice things about each
other's families.
During the debate Kerry had Bush on the ropes when Bush was trying to
justify invading Iraq and said we had been attacked, and Kerry pointed
out that Saddam had not attacked us, forcing Bush to reply that he knew
Osama attacked us -- but then instead of using his follow-up time to
drive home the point, Kerry muddled off into a campaign
sound-bite. The second substantive point Kerry made was that
being certain isn’t a virtue if the certainty is in a position that is
wrong. This is particularly true and important since each death in
Iraq makes the stakes higher, i.e. forces us to insist on a better and
more “honorable” outcome -- and since many presidents who made a
mistake, like Woodrow Wilson with the League of Nations and LBJ in
Vietnam, have dug in on their same “right” path rather than find a way
to compromise or correct their path.
Certainly there has to be a better come-back to Bush’s questioning
Kerry on how he could gain the support of other countries if he derides
the Iraq invasion as the wrong war, at the wrong time. And
perhaps that answer simply is that Bush stands no chance of getting others
to join while Kerry with a fresh start might.
And finally, another telling point Kerry could have made was when Bush
said he knows Iraq is “hard work” because he “sees the same television images”
Kerry could have said he knows it is more than "hard work," it is
heartbreaking work and he doesn't need to see television images because he’s been there.
And this raises the interesting question if it is
better to have a Commander in Chief who has seen combat. It seems
obvious that those who have seen combat are more careful about
committing troops than those who haven’t, and that it also affects
the way they wage war once they do so. For example, it can be
argued that both Eisenhower during the Suez conflict and Kennedy during
the Cuban missile crises, were reluctant to get engaged in situations
that could lead to war, and that once a war was inevitable, Father Bush
(and Colin Powell) used overwhelming forces to assure the outcome and
thus minimize the losses.
September 15th
Two more pieces of advice for Candidate Kerry: First, always, always draw the distinction between Iraq and Afghanistan not only because endorsing the Afghanistan war reminds people that Kerry would have done the same thing, but also because just saying W stands for "wrong, wrong, wrong" appears strident -- and more importantly acknowledging what W did right gives credibility and power to the criticism of what he has done wrong, i.e. Afghanistan was swift, the controlling facts (culpability of bin Laden and the sanctuary provided by the Taliban) were certain, and it was supported by a large international coalition and the greater international community. Iraq on the other hand while also swift, was based on "intelligence" which was uniformity wrong, the international coalition was weak, and the international community opposed. And while in both cases the post-war efforts have been totally inadequate and counter-productive, they have been better in Afghanistan in part because our mission there was clearer and had legitimacy and international support.
September 9th
What an interesting change of terminology for W and his administration, i.e. while earlier they said the main reason we were in Iraq was to spread democracy (i.e. government exercised by the people), now they say we are in Iraq to spread liberty. The difference: even the neocons now realize that not only will it likely take a long, long time for democracy to take hold in Iraq, we may not like the peoples' choice, thus the use of “liberty,” a far more amorphous word that could mean anything from "freedom from confinement, servitude or forced labor," to "freedom from undue governmental control," -- in short a dumbing down of even this latest rationale for the war.
Karl Rove has
to be laughing: if he was managing Kerry rather than W, Kerry would
be up by 15 points and the election all but over -- so Kerry
should pick some new advisors, and quickly -- and why not us!
In any event,
while John McCain (based on his experience campaigning against W)
advised Kerry against making his Viet Nam experience a central theme of
his campaign, most Democrats viewed it as an effective counterpoint to
W’s war-time-president persona, and thus an advantage over the other
primary candidates. But highlighting his military service, and
especially responding to the Swift Boat attacks, has hurt Kerry in at
least five ways:
First, Bill Clinton (and
others) have advised Kerry to fight back when attacked because
Clinton’s campaign did such a good job of counter-attacking in 1992.
But the allegations against Clinton were mostly personal, not
professional, and as Ken Starr and his cohorts found out to their
chagrin – and W and Rush Limbaugh have found out to their
delight – the American people have a remarkable tolerance for sexual,
drug, and other human failings and misdeeds.
Second, only the slightest
doubt is needed to bring truthfulness into question. Amazingly
(or not!), similar questions were raised about G. H. W. Bush’s record
in WWII, i.e. despite being commissioned as the Navy’s youngest pilot,
and despite undertaking 58 combat missions, and despite being shot down
twice, during his political campaigns a fellow pilot accused him of
strafing Japanese fishermen and several eyewitnesses questioned if his
plane was really on fire when he ditched it the last time, resulting in
the deaths of his two crew members. Simply put, combat
memories, like the memories of crime victims and witnesses, are
notoriously unreliable, and thus details can be easily manipulated in
a person’s mind to reflect their biases... and even appear credible.
Third, Kerry’s war record
didn’t end when he left Viet Nam but continued as a prominent and
effective anti-war spokesman that was seen by many who served – and
many didn’t – as heinous and treasonous as “Hanoi-Jane Fonda.” In
retrospect, it is entirely possible that Kerry's anti-war actions saved
lives by speeding the end of an un-winnable war... but the
anti-anti-war reaction was
fueled by far more than the war because it also
mirrored a seismic cultural division between the clean and crew-cut
soldiers and the dirty, long-haired hippies. And indeed this is one
reason Kerry’s opposition was so effective: he didn’t fit with the
anti-war crowd. Moreover that cultural division continues to drive
today's cultural wars with similar wedge issues of gays, abortion,
sex, etc.
Fourth, a former frat
president like Bush will beat Kerry and
most other candidates in “likeability,” and far more tried to avoid
the draft (and going to Viet Nam) than
volunteered, and once in Viet Nam far more didn’t win as
many medals. Simply put, would you feel more comfortable
having a beer with a Purple Heart winner who enlisted and then
volunteered for dangerous combat duty, or a fellow dodger like Bill
Clinton and George W. Bush? Moreover, every time W says he finds
Kerry’s service "admirable," W comes across as reasonable and gracious
while Kerry seems more strident and a whiner.
And fifth, Kerry loses every
minute he doesn’t speak of the real issues, Iraq, deficits, jobs,
health care.
What
to do? First, have others
fight back, and more, McCain’s criticisms of the attacks on Kerry carry far more weight than Kerry’s.
Second, remind the voters that GW and most all other politicians are
exceptionally thankful that what they said in 1968 and the following
years wasn’t recorded. Third, an important difference is that unlike
W’s incomplete service in the Texas National Guard that carried
no chance of deployment to Viet Nam, almost all who serve in
today's National Guard will see combat, and for
extended terms of duty. And finally, demeaning Kerry's service
not only hurts all who have served, are serving, and will be serving,
it also demeans the military since since the anti-Kerry group is asking
us to believe that medals are routinely awarded for less than meritorious
acts?
September
4, 2004
The misrepresentations in Zell Miller’s and Dick Cheney’s speeches at the Convention were so great as to leave most commentators breathless... with Wolf Blitzer and his panel making Zell Miller bluster when they pointed out that he and Cheney and other Republicans had fought to kill many of the same military programs Zell said would leave the US "fighting with spitballs." Another commentator said it was the most mean-spirited speech he had heard in 20 conventions, and even a conservative commentator admitted while they were “guilty pleasures,” both speeches were "over- the-top" with representations he’d never make. But perhaps the most dangerous charge was that Kerry would not commit military forces unless approved by the UN: this pure unadulterated bull is big-time code for the super-patriot base that believes they must be heavily armed to defend themselves against a rogue US government which allows guns to be regulated and its troops to serve under a UN command. Simply put, while these statements seem innocuous to ordinary citizens, similar statements by the NRA and even mainstream political operatives in prior campaigns that were also meant to energize this base, gave comfort and legitimacy to Timothy McVeigh’s paranoia! Unfortunately all terrorists aren't foreigners.
September
2, 2004
Obviously, if
you can’t run on your record, your only option is to tear-down your
opponent -- which surely is GW and Rove’s forte anyway. Rush
Limbaugh and others say Kerry should stop whining because "this is how
the game is played in the Big Leagues." Big League what???
Knowingly mis-stating key facts is wrong -- and “Bush League” -- because,
simply put, lies don’t work in
the long run.... just remember Ken Lay and Dennis Kozlowski and Arthur
Andersen thought creative accounting and tax schemes were "Big League"
too. And while Rove and W claim not to be concerned about history’s
judgment because, as W said, “we’ll all be dead...” that
judgment,
based on hindsight, will be true and final -- and not subject to
spin.