2000 POST-ELECTION ANALYSIS #2 (November 11, 2000):
The Most Exciting Election In Our Lifetimes!
To The ELECT HOBIE HOMEPAGE

"I haven't watched that much TV since the NFL draft."  Roman Oben, Cleveland Browns offensive tackle
"I watched the very end of it, the last couple of hours.  It reminded me of the Super Bowl last year where you go down to the very last play and dive for the end zone."  Dave Campo, Dallas Cowboys coach.
"It's hot.  The phones are just explosive.  At no point is there a line that's not locked up."  Steve Konrad, radio talk show program director
"This is nuts.  This is bigger than Monica."  John Corby, radio show call-in host
The Smithsonian called NBC to ask if they could get the slate Tim Russert used to do the electoral math...
He said he still might need it for awhile...
Cuba has offered to send a team to oversee a fair recount.
"Both sides should shut up and wait 2 weeks.... You can't legislate against stupidity."  Dick Sutterfield

Isn't this Great!  This election, like no other in our lifetimes, has captured not only the attention, but the interest of the American people -- which is the best thing that has happened to our democracy in many, many years...  It's the talk of the country:  call-in shows are over-whelmed, business have warned employees against monitoring the results over the Internet because they are clogging up corporate intranets, and the Internet has slowed to a crawl because it unable to handle all the traffic...

But now, rather than continuing to confuse what's "good for the country" with what's "good for their party," all the politicians should stop talking about  what's "legal" and just do what's right; and if they can't figure out what's right, we'll tell them:  get a bipartisan team of Republicans and Democrats in a room and re-count as many votes it takes to reasonably answer the question who won.  This isn't like going to the moon or curing cancer, and if it cost some money to do it expeditiously, its money very well spent, indeed much better spent than most of the items in the current budget (which may have already spent most of any "surplus").... Just get on with it, then we'll get over it, and move on (and pray the politicians will do the same)!!!!

"Let me begin by saying that the American people voted on November 7 and Gov. George W. Bush
won 31 states with a total of 271 electoral votes.  The vote here in Florida was very close
and when it was counted, Gov. Bush was the winner.  Now, three days later,
the vote has been recounted."  GW Bush's new consigliere, James Baker, noon 11/10/00
"I'm a little worried about a man who tends to stretch the truth in order to get ahead politically."  GW Bush 5/5/00

Well get worried!  Facts:  Tuesday's vote was "official" but not certified, the margin was so slim a recount was automatic, and the recount has not yet been completed... So.... Baker made at least two stretches:  Bush didn't win 271 electoral votes on Tuesday -- nor has he won them yet -- and nor has the recount been completed ...
And if the Bush camp is so confident they won Florida -- and the election -- why the hurry...  And if there is a hurry, why doesn't Bush resign as Governor of Texas so his Lt. Governor can get started with his transition?  Facts:  Gore presently leads in the electoral as well as in the popular vote; exit polls in Florida showed a Gore victory; exit polls nationally showed most voters preferred Gore's positions on the hot issues; if Nader hadn't been in the race, Gore would have won; prematurely calling Florida for Gore may well have lulled voters in the west to cast a "safe protest" vote for Nader, thus hurting Gore; and, almost half of the national votes for the Socialist Workers Party candidate were cast in Daytona Beach's county (9,888 out of some 20,000)  "Unless Daytona Beach is a hotbed of Marxist-Leninist dogma, I cannot fathom how this is an accurate vote tally."  S. Janin, Salon Letters 11/10/00 ... [Hobie 2000 Post-Note:  The count for the Socialist Party was shown to be a counting error, not a voting error, and was corrected.]
And who decided to bring in Baker, since GW blamed him for his father's loss in 1996 and ostracized him from his campaign ....until this Tuesday...
The bottom line:  Gore can only let the recounts and challenges go on as long as there is a real chance he could win;  the recounts and challenges will tarnish both sides as well as diminish public confidence in the system; Gore must know that the recounts might narrow or even eliminate his lead in the popular vote; and certainly the people know how hypocritical Bush's position is, that is if the roles were reversed Bush would consider any fair re-counts and challenges to be "for the good of the country...."

Bush's big promise was he would be a UNITER not a DIVIDER...

We'll he Flunked his first test... Instead of being sensitive to how slim his legitimacy to the office really is, he has stormed ahead, picking a transition team, Cabinet members, administration staff, and probably the White House drapes... and calling Al Gore a sore loser before all the ballots had been counted and certified in effect tells the many Gore voters they don't count....  And this unseemly, cocky attitude was reinforced when Senate Republican Leader Trent Lott said: "I tell you one thing, when this Hillary gets to the Senate -- if she does, maybe lightening will strike and she won't -- she will be one of 100 and we won't let her forget it."
And in one of the campaign's most mind boggling "spins," Bush's communications director, Karen Hughes, said yesterday that Bush felt he deserved the presidency because "he got more popular votes than Clinton did in 1996..."  leaving unsaid that he got less than Gore... which leaves only two options:  either (1) they think we are so stupid we'll believe what they say, or (2) they are so stupid they believe what they say....
"Considering the razor-thin support for whomever eventually wins the White House this time, let us pray that there isn't a great crisis in the next four years."  Gwynne Dyer, London 11/10/00

And of course a few on both sides may have no intention of trying to unite the country but rather prefer to start campaigning for the next election by appealing to their core voters so they can raise even more money for the next election which is "less than 24 months away" ....
"Some $3 billion was spent on presidential and congressional campaigns this year, another $1 billion on state races.  Folks, if we don't find a way to discipline political spending and end the ceaseless money-grubbing by politicians, you can kiss your republic goodbye.  Our legislators no longer represent us.  This candidate represents the nursing-home operators, that one the maritime interests.  This one the trial lawyers, that one the corporate bar.  This one the energy industries, that one the telecom companies.  The only thing missing from our representatives to distinguish them from other retail items is the bar code."  Tom Teepen, Cox News Service 11/10/00

But The REAL PROBLEM ISN'T THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE, or voting irregularities, or even the money, BUT RATHER THE 2-PARTY PRIMARY SYSTEM... McCain, whose inspiring biography and strong convictions appealed to Democrats and independents as well as Republicans, would have won in a landslide... But the Republican (and to some extent Democratic) establishment "did whatever they needed to do to crush him" because he threatened them on 2 crucial issues:  campaign finance reform and wasteful spending.  So the REAL Problem with the Y2K Election was the "irregularities" that happened during the primary in many states -- including New York where he had to fight a stacked system to even get on the ballot, and  Ohio where newspapers intimidated potential Democratic voters from crossing over to vote for McCain by saying they could be challenged and charged with a felony if they didn't "ascribe to the tenets of the Republican Party," and then early on election day McCain favored precincts in Cleveland ran out of ballots, and by the time they printed more ballots, and loaded them on an airplane which flew to Cleveland, and then sat on an airport runway, the polls were ready to close.... (No recount needed there!)  Thus the Real Problem is that if not the Brightest and Best, at least the most inspiring and honest candidates -- who would eliminate pork and reform how elections are financed -- are not nominated...
"The guy we like we don't trust.  The guy we trust we don't like."  Mike Petrohoy, Monitor Week, 11/2/00

And finally, after the NRA called this election "the most important for our rights since the Civil War," after spending over $15 million and providing thousands of campaign volunteers, the results were a crushing disappointment.... while they claim they made the difference in getting Bush elected [and will demand a pay-back], the initiatives in Colorado and Oregon to close the gun show background check loophole was a bitter loss.... and demonstrated again that while they can effectively manipulate legislatures, when given the chance, the public simply doesn't support their agendas.. [Hobie 2000 Postnote: Unfortunately the presidential election was so close that the NRA could rightly claim to have made the difference in Arkansas, West Virginia, and Tennessee... with predictable results....]
But just as important, this close election also revealed a flaw in their basic premise:  The Founding Fathers had no model of democracy for the masses except the republics of ancient Athens and Rome, and as classically educated men, they knew all too well how the public could be swayed by a demagogue who appealed to their emotions.  So they not only interposed the Electoral College above the public, they fully expected the electors in each region would elect their own candidate, with the House of Representatives ultimately choosing the new leader.  Now with mass education and an active mass media to keep is informed, the barrier between the popular vote is not needed or indeed acceptable.  But the KEY is this Electoral College background goes against the NRA's argument that the Founding Fathers intended the Second Amendment to give an unlimited, individual right to "bear arms..." for if the Founding Fathers didn't trust common masses with a ballot, why would they trust them with a gun?   But of course what it vividly illustrates is that the Electoral College, like the Second Amendment, and the Third Amendment's prohibition against quartering of troops in private homes during peacetime, and restricting the vote to older white males, all come from another time and have no relevance to today's realities...


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Page prepared 11/11/00; Updated 9/12/01
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